New form of political development is likely in the country with the election for the National Assembly (NA) and the deal signed between the ruling NCP and RJP-Nepal.
As per the deal, the NCP and RJPN will share to be elected 18 seats with another one nominated sear in the NA limiting the main opposition Nepal Congress (NC) into six seats, government of the province two will be formed by sharing the posts between the NCP and the JPPN by forcing the Samajbadi Party, an ally of the incumbent government, into the opposition bench.
The NCP and the RJPN signed an agreement to support each other during the upcoming election for the NA. As per the agreement, the ruling head NCP will secure victory in the remaining 17 seats including one nominated by the president and remaining two by the RJPN.
The move of the ruling head NCP to collaborate with the RJPN is taken importantly because collaboration with the RJPN is taken as a ploy to bypass the Socialist Party from the government. It is likely that the Socialist would backtrack from the government once the RJPN incorporated in the government.
The reduction of the size of the main opposition in the parliament and the division between the Madhes based parties over the issue of government would hamper to the prospect of political consensus to execute the remaining task of implementing the constitution.
With the latest agreement, the strength of the NCP in the upper house will reach 50 from existing 42, and the RJPN will win one more to take its total number of seats to two. The main opposition NC is set to lose seven seats from among 13 seats it currently has. The move of the ruling NCP to collaborate with the RJPN, which has stayed in the opposition protesting the government’s decision to arrest its lawmaker Resham Chaudhary in connection with the 2015 Tikapur massacre, instead of reaching similar agreement with its coalition partner Socialist Party -Nepal-led by Upendra Yadav, is seen as significant.
Similarly, the NCP’s move could also be aimed at giving a message to the Socialist Party that the ruling party could still command two-thirds majority in parliament with support from the RJPN even if the Socialist Party chooses to sever ties with the government.